Physics Ledger · Prediction Cosmology τ-Effective 1–5%

Primordial Helium-4 Mass Fraction Y_p

Primordial Helium-4 Mass Fraction Y_p: τ-value 0.2469, observed 0.2449 ± 0.0040, deviation +0.8%.

Prediction

τ-Formula
20/81
τ-Value
0.2469
Observed
0.2449 ± 0.0040
Deviation
+0.8%

τ-Formula

Y_p = (8/27) × (5/6) = 20/81 = 0.2469

Derivation

The fiber suppression is selective: it affects only $A ≥ 7$ nuclei (those requiring EM radiative capture across the full $τ^3$ geometry). Light nuclei with $A ≤ 4$ fit the stride-3 macrocell and are unaffected:

  • $Y_p$ ($^4He$): unchanged (voxel packing geometry, independent of $^7Be$ production).
  • $D/H$: unchanged (set by deuterium bottleneck, not by $^7Be$ channel).
  • $^3He/H$: unchanged ($A = (τ^3) = 3$, fits macrocell).

No BBN products have $5 ≤ A ≤ 6$ (the mass gaps at $A = 5$ and $A = 8$ in nuclear physics prevent their formation). The $τ$ framework therefore resolves the lithium problem selectively—without disturbing the other successful BBN predictions. (Registry: V.T245, V.T246, Wave 25.)

Source

This prediction is derived in the Physics Ledger (Chapter 62 — inflation-cmb-bbn), Books IV–V of Panta Rhei.

Registry

Canonical derivation in Book V.

Metadata

DomainCosmology
Precision Tier1–5%
Scopeτ-Effective
Registry IDV.T245
Canonical BookBook V