Results · Falsification Pack

Falsification Pack (N1–N30)

30 sharp predictions where Category τ makes specific claims that named experiments can test on a 2025–2035 timeline.

The 30-Prediction Falsification Pack identifies the sharpest points where Category τ makes specific, testable claims that named experiments can verify or refute. Each prediction carries an ID (N1–N30), a domain, a named experiment, a timeline, and a current observational status.

Seven of these predictions form falsifiable seams — points where τ and orthodox physics make structurally incompatible claims. The sharpest discriminant is N9 (tensor-to-scalar ratio r = 0.0136), which CMB-S4 can test at 14σ significance.

If any prediction is decisively falsified (≥5σ), the τ-framework must be revised in that domain.

Domain
Status
Sort
30 of 30 falsifications
  1. N1 Particle Physics Confirmed

    No fourth generation

    LHC Run~3+, FCC ongoing–2040.
  2. N2 Particle Physics Consistent

    No SUSY partners

    LHC, FCC, CEPC ongoing–2040.
  3. N3 Particle Physics Consistent

    No dark matter particle

    LZ, XLZD, PandaX, XENONnT, DARWIN, ADMX 2025–2035.
  4. N4 Particle Physics Consistent

    Neutron EDM is exactly zero

    nEDM, n2EDM at PSI 2025–2030.
  5. N5 Particle Physics Consistent

    All neutrinos are Majorana

    nEXO, LEGEND, CUPID, KamLAND-Zen 2027–2035.
  6. N6 Particle Physics Consistent

    Sum of neutrino masses $ m_ = 0.089$

    DESI, Euclid, CMB-S4, KATRIN/Project~8 2027–2032.
  7. N7 Particle Physics Consistent

    Normal mass hierarchy

    JUNO, DUNE, Hyper-Kamiokande 2027–2030.
  8. N8 Particle Physics Consistent

    Proton stable

    Hyper-Kamiokande, DUNE, JUNO ongoing–2040+.
  9. N9 CMB & Inflation Consistent

    Tensor-to-scalar ratio $r = _^4 0.0136$

    BICEP Array, CMB-S4, LiteBIRD 2027–2030.
  10. N10 Particle Physics Consistent

    Spectral index $n_s = 1 - 2/57$

    CMB-S4, LiteBIRD 2028–2032.
  11. N11 Particle Physics Confirmed

    First acoustic peak $_1 = 220.6$

    Planck legacy, CMB-S4 confirmed at $+0.28%$.
  12. N12 Particle Physics Consistent

    B-mode amplitude $D_80

    CMB-S4, LiteBIRD 2028–2032.
  13. N13 Particle Physics Consistent

    $N_ eff

    CMB-S4 2028–2032.
  14. N14 Particle Physics Confirmed

    Silk damping ratio $_D / _1 = _D / _B$

    Planck legacy, CMB-S4 confirmed at $+9$~ppm.
  15. N15 BBN Consistent

    Helium-4 mass fraction $Y_p = 20/81$

    metal-poor HII regions ongoing.
  16. N16 Particle Physics Consistent

    Deuterium abundance from $$-native $_B$

    quasar absorption systems ongoing, improving with 30m-class telescopes.
  17. N17 Particle Physics Consistent

    Lithium-7 resolved ($S = 1/3$

    stellar archaeology, primordial gas clouds 2025–2035.
  18. N18 Dark Sector Confirmed

    Equation of state $w_0 -0.960$

    DESI, Euclid, Rubin/LSST 2025–2030.
  19. N19 Dark Sector Consistent

    No phantom crossing

    DESI, Euclid 2025–2030.
  20. N20 Particle Physics Consistent

    Dark energy density $_ = 0.6849$

    Euclid, DESI, Rubin 2027–2032.
  21. N21 Particle Physics Consistent

    Hubble constant $h = 0.6735$

    DESI, JWST, gravitational wave standard sirens 2025–2035.
  22. N22 Particle Physics Consistent

    Clustering amplitude $S_8 = 0.760$

    Euclid, Rubin, DES legacy 2026–2032.
  23. N23 Particle Physics Consistent

    No DM detection—ever

    all DM searches permanent.
  24. N24 Black Holes Consistent

    QNM frequency ratio $_^-1

    LIGO/Virgo A+, LISA, Einstein Telescope 2029–2035.
  25. N25 Black Holes Consistent

    EHT shadow correction $+2.91%$

    ngEHT (next-generation EHT) 2029–2033.
  26. N26 Particle Physics Consistent

    GW echo time ratio $_^-2

    Einstein Telescope, Cosmic Explorer, LISA 2032–2040.
  27. N27 Particle Physics Consistent

    Magnetic winding number $w = 2$

    SKA, ngVLA, ngEHT polarimetry 2030–2035.
  28. N28 Collective Dynamics Consistent

    She–Lévêque from $^3$

    high-Re DNS, wind-tunnel data ongoing.
  29. N29 Particle Physics Consistent

    Kolmogorov constant $C_K = 3/2$

    atmospheric turbulence, wind tunnels ongoing.
  30. N30 Particle Physics Consistent

    Fast reconnection rate $v_ rec

    MRX, FLARE, solar observatories, MMS ongoing–2030.