Physics Ledger · Prediction Astrophysics τ-Effective Structural

EHT Shadow Correction

EHT Shadow Correction: τ-value 5.25,GM/c², observed 5.1 ± 0.3, deviation –.

Prediction

τ-Formula
T2 correction +2.91%
τ-Value
5.25,GM/c²
Observed
5.1 ± 0.3
Deviation

τ-Formula

f_τ = 1 + ι_τ²/4 = 1.02912 (+2.91% universal)

Derivation

  • Shadow diameter: $θ_τ = 40.85\,μas$.
  • EHT observation: $42 ± 3\,μas$.
  • Deviation: $0.4σ$.
  • QNM ratio: $ι_τ^-1 ≈ 2.930$.
  • Modulation periods: $4.66$ d (outer $S^1$), $1.59$ d (inner $S^1$).

The shadow prediction lies comfortably within the EHT error bar. The $T^2$ correction brings $τ$ $1.15\,μas$ closer to the central value than pure GR.

Source

This prediction is derived in the Physics Ledger (Chapter 64 — black-hole-topology), Books IV–V of Panta Rhei.

Registry

Canonical derivation in Book V.

Metadata

DomainAstrophysics
Precision TierStructural
Scopeτ-Effective
Registry IDV.T220
Canonical BookBook V