Physics Ledger · Prediction
Astrophysics
τ-Effective
Structural
EHT Shadow Correction
EHT Shadow Correction: τ-value 5.25,GM/c², observed 5.1 ± 0.3, deviation –.
Prediction
τ-Formula
correction
τ-Value
5.25,GM/c²
Observed
5.1 ± 0.3
Deviation
–
τ-Formula
f_τ = 1 + ι_τ²/4 = 1.02912 (+2.91% universal)
Derivation
- Shadow diameter: $θ_τ = 40.85\,μas$.
- EHT observation: $42 ± 3\,μas$.
- Deviation: $0.4σ$.
- QNM ratio: $ι_τ^-1 ≈ 2.930$.
- Modulation periods: $4.66$ d (outer $S^1$), $1.59$ d (inner $S^1$).
The shadow prediction lies comfortably within the EHT error bar. The $T^2$ correction brings $τ$ $1.15\,μas$ closer to the central value than pure GR.
Source
This prediction is derived in the Physics Ledger (Chapter 64 — black-hole-topology), Books IV–V of Panta Rhei.